Reading the wind chill number on a Canadian forecast

By Porter Lang

A forecast might read minus 15. Then, in smaller type, minus 27. Which one should you dress for?

Both. They answer different questions. The first is the air. The second is what that air, moving, does to bare skin. This piece goes through what Environment and Climate Change Canada says the wind chill index is, the six bands it uses, and what the number cannot tell you. Nothing here is medical advice. It is a plain reading of what the sources say.

What the index is

The federal wind chill page says the index estimates how cold wind makes the air feel when temperatures are below zero, and that it describes frostbite risk. It says wind chill is not a measured temperature. It is calculated from air temperature and wind speed. It does not make objects colder than the actual air, and it is not shown when the temperature is above zero.

The Canadian Broadcasting Corporation’s explainer says the Canadian model was tested with 12 volunteers in a refrigerated wind tunnel at a Department of National Defence lab in Toronto.

The six bands

The federal page sorts wind chill values into categories. Here they are, with the exposed-skin times it gives.

BandWind chillExposed skinWhat the page says
Low0 to -9Not statedSlight increase in discomfort
Moderate-10 to -27Not statedDiscomfort; risk of hypothermia and frostbite with long outdoor exposure without adequate protection
High-28 to -3910 to 30 minutesHigh risk of frostnip or frostbite
Very high-40 to -475 to 10 minutesVery high frostbite and hypothermia risk
Severe-48 to -542 to 5 minutesSevere risk
Extreme-55 or colderLess than 2 minutesOutdoor conditions are hazardous

The page adds that in sustained winds over 50 km/h, frostbite can occur faster than the table shows.

Dates in order

WhenWhat happenedSource
1939Paul Siple first uses the term “wind chill”The Canadian Encyclopedia
13 January 1975The coldest recorded Canadian wind chill, at Pelly Bay, equivalent to -92The Canadian Encyclopedia; CBC explainer
Before 2001Canada reports wind chill as heat loss in watts per square metre, roughly 1,000 to over 3,000CBC explainer
November 2001The new index takes effectWikipedia

Our reading: the 1975 figure was recorded under the older watts system, so the -92 and today’s bands are not the same scale. The Canadian Encyclopedia and the CBC both give it as a historic record.

Where the old idea came from

Siple and Charles Passel worked in Antarctica, according to Wikipedia and the Canadian Encyclopedia. The Canadian Encyclopedia says their formula linked heat loss to wind speed and air temperature and was later changed to compute an equivalent temperature. The CBC says countries now use different formulas, all based on that research.

What it does not say

Read these carefully, because this is where most misunderstanding lives.

The federal page says wind chill does not make objects colder than the actual air. The CBC explainer says it does not apply to inanimate objects such as rocks, cars or snow. The Canadian Encyclopedia says the formula ignores activity, sunshine, humidity, age, health and clothing. The federal page says forecasts are issued when the temperature is zero or below and the wind is 5 km/h or higher.

Our reading: the number is a guide to bare skin, not to how cold you will be inside a good coat. It is also a warning about the face and hands, which are what the model was built around.

Estimating the wind without an instrument

The federal page gives visual cues rather than a measurement height. Wind felt on the face with a moving wind vane suggests about 10 km/h. Small flags extending suggest about 20 km/h. Trees bending and walking against the wind becoming hard suggest about 60 km/h.

Where it bites hardest

The Canadian Encyclopedia says the highest values occur in January over the barrens northwest of Hudson Bay, and that Baker Lake in Nunavut has the highest in Canada. It reports the share of January time with wind chill below -20 as Winnipeg 83 per cent, Edmonton 62, Ottawa 42, Halifax 17, and under 1 in Vancouver and Victoria. It flags a wording question over “exceeding” that it does not resolve, so treat these as the encyclopedia’s figures, not ours. It also says Winnipeg’s wind chills are comparable to the High Arctic’s.

Questions a buyer would ask

Do I dress for the air temperature or the wind chill? Per the federal page, wind chill describes frostbite risk to exposed skin. The air temperature is still the real temperature.

Does wind chill freeze my car battery or pipes? The federal page says it does not make objects colder than the actual air.

Is the 2001 number the same as the old watts figure? No. The CBC explains the old watts values were converted into an equivalent temperature to be easier to grasp.

What kind of sources these are

One federal government page, one public broadcaster’s explainer, a national encyclopedia and a user-edited encyclopedia. None is a gear maker. The two encyclopedias disagree slightly in what they emphasise; neither contradicts the federal bands.

What we left out

Clothing brand advice, fabric claims, anything on frostbite treatment, and the older pre-2001 bands. Prices, and anything we could not source.

Quick answers

What is wind chill in Canada? According to Environment and Climate Change Canada, an index of how cold wind makes the air feel to exposed skin, calculated from air temperature and wind speed.

How long until frostbite at -30 wind chill? The federal page puts exposed skin at 10 to 30 minutes in the -28 to -39 band, and says stronger sustained winds can shorten that.

Does wind chill apply to my car? No. The federal page says wind chill does not make objects colder than the actual air, and the CBC says it does not apply to inanimate objects such as cars.

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